ES Tunis 1-0 Club Africain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.81
No
62%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.8
2-3 Goals
46%
1.92
4-5 Goals
12%
8.12
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.1pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Africain EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.53/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.72
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +60%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Africain
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1
07.05.2023 Club Africain Club Africain 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
19.06.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-1 HT 2-1 Club Africain Club Africain TUN
08.05.2022 Club Africain Club Africain 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
05.05.2021 Club Africain Club Africain 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
31.01.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
1-0
AWAY Club Africain
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Club Africain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis nicked a narrow win over Club Africain 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ES Tunis had 49% of the ball to Club Africain's 51%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Tunis and 0.50 for Club Africain.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Club Africain?

ES Tunis 1-0 Club Africain in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Club Africain?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 50%, draw 23%, Club Africain 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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