İtalya U17 (K) 1-3 İngiltere U17 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 (K) The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U17 (K) The Market 33%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+79% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 (K) vs İngiltere U17 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U17 (K) beat İtalya U17 (K) 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day İngiltere U17 (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 (K) vs İngiltere U17 (K)?

İtalya U17 (K) 1-3 İngiltere U17 (K) in the European U17 Championship Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 (K) vs İngiltere U17 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U17 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 (K) 40%, draw 31%, İngiltere U17 (K) 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya U17 (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U17 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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