Lexington vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Chattanooga Red Wolves — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-5
HT 1-3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL1
3-1
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
Lexington 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Lexington made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Lexington had 43% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 57%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.42 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chattanooga Red Wolves.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lexington and 2.67 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Lexington 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lexington 40%, draw 30%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.