Green Eagles 1-3 Green Buffaloes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Eagles The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Buffaloes The Market 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.72/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.23
-40% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Eagles
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Green Buffaloes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.04.2022 Green Buffaloes Green Buffaloes 1-2 HT 0-1 Green Eagles Green Eagles ZAM
28.11.2021 Green Eagles Green Eagles 2-0 HT 1-0 Green Buffaloes Green Buffaloes ZAM
POST-MATCH Green Eagles vs Green Buffaloes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Buffaloes got the better of Green Eagles 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Green Buffaloes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Green Eagles had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Green Eagles and 0.50 for Green Buffaloes.

What was the final score of Green Eagles vs Green Buffaloes?

Green Eagles 1-3 Green Buffaloes in the Zambiya - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Eagles vs Green Buffaloes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Buffaloes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Green Eagles 34%, draw 25%, Green Buffaloes 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Green Buffaloes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Green Buffaloes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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