Crystal Palace (K) 3-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.31/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+35% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -64%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
13.0 Crosses 24.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.34 xG 1.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 10
254 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.11.2024 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Crystal Palace (K) Crystal Palace (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
3-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
1.09 xG 1.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 17
137 Passes 341
54% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 47
8 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace (K) beat Aston Villa (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Crystal Palace (K) had 35% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 65%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.09 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Crystal Palace (K) 3-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace (K) 28%, draw 22%, Aston Villa (K) 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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