Ourense CF 1-0 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -22%
1.03/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.45
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Real Union
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF edged past Real Union 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ourense CF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ourense CF had 58% of the ball to Real Union's 42%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Real Union?

Ourense CF 1-0 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 44%, draw 30%, Real Union 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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