Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 Turbine Potsdam (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Turbine Potsdam (K)
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Essen-Schönebeck (K) v Turbine Potsdam (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Turbine Potsdam (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.84/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.29
+27% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -23%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
27.1 Crosses 5.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Turbine Potsdam (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.27 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 10
365 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Turbine Potsdam (K) Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 Turbine Potsdam (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2-1
AWAY Turbine Potsdam (K)
2.78 xG 1.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
355 Passes 183
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) squeezed past Turbine Potsdam (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Essen-Schönebeck (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 62% of the ball to Turbine Potsdam (K)'s 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.78 to 1.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 Turbine Potsdam (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 63%, draw 19%, Turbine Potsdam (K) 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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