Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 Sloboda Tuzla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.49
No
62%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-12.7pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
24%
+13.6pp
62%
BTTS No
76%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 8%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.74/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.60
+27% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +36%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
30.09.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
07.09.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
06.05.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-2 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.03.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-2 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
27.10.2021 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
3-2
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar nicked a narrow win over Sloboda Tuzla 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 65% of the ball to Sloboda Tuzla's 35%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.17 for Sloboda Tuzla.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla?

Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 Sloboda Tuzla in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 67%, draw 18%, Sloboda Tuzla 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
16 Mar 2025
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