Zob Ahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.38
Over 2.5
25%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.29
No
71%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.87
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.44
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 48% vs market 44.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 75%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
75%
Under 2.5
69%
+6.4pp
25%
Over 2.5
31%
-6.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
40%
-10.2pp
71%
BTTS No
60%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
0.87/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.43
+18% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +84%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.12.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
18.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-3 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
06.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
13.03.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
25.11.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.09.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2 HT 1-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan and Esteghlal Khuzestan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zob Ahan and 1.00 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Zob Ahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 29%, draw 33%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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