Danubio U20 1-5 Belgrano U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.4pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio U20 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
208 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio U20
1-5
AWAY Belgrano U20
0.62 xG 4.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
109 Passes 341
51% Pass Accuracy 75%
7 Box Touches 30
5 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio U20 vs Belgrano U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano U20 cruised past Danubio U20 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; Belgrano U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Danubio U20 had 32% of the ball to Belgrano U20's 68%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 0.62 to 4.06.

What was the final score of Danubio U20 vs Belgrano U20?

Danubio U20 1-5 Belgrano U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio U20 vs Belgrano U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Danubio U20 40%, draw 20%, Belgrano U20 40%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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