Melbourne City II 3-1 Eastern Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+12.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
4.12/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.56
+56% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eastern Lions
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.08.2024 Eastern Lions Eastern Lions 0-4 HT 0-1 Melbourne City II Melbourne City II NPL2
POST-MATCH Melbourne City II vs Eastern Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II got the better of Eastern Lions 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne City II vs Eastern Lions?

Melbourne City II 3-1 Eastern Lions in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City II vs Eastern Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City II 56%, draw 20%, Eastern Lions 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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