Muğlaspor 1-0 İnegöl Kafkas GK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +64%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muğlaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.11.2024 İnegöl Kafkas GK İnegöl Kafkas GK 2-3 HT 1-1 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muğlaspor
1-0
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muğlaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor edged past İnegöl Kafkas GK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muğlaspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Muğlaspor had 52% of the ball to İnegöl Kafkas GK's 48%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Muğlaspor 1-0 İnegöl Kafkas GK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 48%, draw 28%, İnegöl Kafkas GK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muğlaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muğlaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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