Al-Ain 1-3 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.39/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Ain
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
28.05.2024 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
08.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al-Ain vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of Al-Ain 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al-Ain and 1.00 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al-Ain vs Al Najma?

Al-Ain 1-3 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Ain vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al-Ain 35%, draw 28%, Al Najma 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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