İnegölspor 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.64
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İnegölspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.09.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 2-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
1-1
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor and GMG Kastamonuspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İnegölspor had 48% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 52%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

İnegölspor 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 27%, draw 27%, GMG Kastamonuspor 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Over 2.5
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