Naples 2-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 16 Mar 2025

Naples
2-0 HT 2-0
Forward Madison
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Naples vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naples v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
– Crosses 16.4
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Naples 2-0 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-0
AWAY Forward Madison
1.73 xG 0.61
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
143 Passes 493
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naples vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples got the better of Forward Madison 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Naples made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Naples had 28% of the ball to Forward Madison's 72%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Naples vs Forward Madison?

Naples 2-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naples 34%, draw 27%, Forward Madison 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
16 Mar 2025
00:00 Tormenta vs Alta Analysis →
02:00 Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →