San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.81
No
62%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.15/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.91
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
25.06.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
21.02.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
23.03.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.08.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
19.04.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman saw off Nueva Chicago 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.60 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Nueva Chicago?

San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 49%, draw 30%, Nueva Chicago 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →