Spaeri 4-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 Mar 2026

Spaeri
4-1 HT 1-0
Samgurali
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2026

Spaeri vs Samgurali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Spaeri v Samgurali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spaeri The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali The Market 45%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.21
1.56 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.44
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Spaeri 4-1 Samgurali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spaeri
4-1
AWAY Samgurali
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Spaeri vs Samgurali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Spaeri ran out comfortable winners over Samgurali 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Spaeri found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Samgurali saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-7.

Spaeri vs Samgurali Result & Final Score

Spaeri 4-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Spaeri vs Samgurali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spaeri 31%, draw 29%, Samgurali 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samgurali), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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