Belgrano U20 2-4 Nacional U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 16 Mar 2026

Belgrano U20
2-4 HT 0-1
Nacional U20
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores U20 – 2026

Belgrano U20 vs Nacional U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano U20 v Nacional U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
4.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Belgrano U20 2-4 Nacional U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano U20
2-4
AWAY Nacional U20
1.65 xG 2.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
235 Passes 271
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belgrano U20 vs Nacional U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional U20 saw off Belgrano U20 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nacional U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Belgrano U20 had 47% of the ball to Nacional U20's 53%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.65 to 2.80.

What was the final score of Belgrano U20 vs Nacional U20?

Belgrano U20 2-4 Nacional U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano U20 vs Nacional U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belgrano U20 38%, draw 25%, Nacional U20 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Over 2.5
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