Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Rubio Nu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubio Nu EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.49/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.94
+5% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rubio Nu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
21.09.2015 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.07.2015 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu PAR
17.04.2015 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu PAR
15.02.2015 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
30.10.2014 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 0-1 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu PAR
11.05.2014 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubio Nu Rubio Nu PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-0
AWAY Rubio Nu
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion edged past Rubio Nu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 62% of the ball to Rubio Nu's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubio Nu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Rubio Nu.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu?

Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Rubio Nu in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 48%, draw 26%, Rubio Nu 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5
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