Southampton 3-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Apr 2024

Southampton
3-0 HT 3-0
Preston North End
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Southampton vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.29 — our 25% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.45
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
9%
17.65
X/X
9%
7.79
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
8%
13.1
2/X
8%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
2.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.48
+27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.5 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Southampton vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Preston North End
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 0.85
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
588 Passes 180
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.10.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-2 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNCL
20.07.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 1-3 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton HAZ
21.09.2011 Southampton Southampton 2-1 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNLK
21.02.2009 Southampton Southampton 3-1 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
01.11.2008 Preston North End Preston North End 2-3 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNCL
22.12.2007 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Southampton 3-0 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
3-0
AWAY Preston North End
2.83 xG 0.10
78% Ball Possession 22%
23 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
721 Passes 143
91% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Box Touches 3
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton ran out comfortable winners over Preston North End 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southampton had 78% of the ball to Preston North End's 22%, shots finished 23-1, expected goals 2.83 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Southampton and 1.33 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Preston North End?

Southampton 3-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Southampton 55%, draw 23%, Preston North End 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →