Wexford Youths 2-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.69/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.58
+39% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Longford Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.05.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
20.08.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
24.06.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wexford Youths
2-2
AWAY Longford Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths and Longford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wexford Youths at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wexford Youths had 49% of the ball to Longford Town's 51%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Longford Town?

Wexford Youths 2-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 55%, draw 24%, Longford Town 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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