Östers 2-0 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
16%
3.9
X/2
8%
9.73
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.89
2/X
9%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.59/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.02
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örebro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Östers Östers 3-0 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
07.07.2023 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
16.08.2022 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
14.05.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
05.09.2005 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
25.05.2005 Östers Östers 1-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
2-0
AWAY Örebro
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Östers vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers beat Örebro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Östers had 57% of the ball to Örebro's 43%, shots finished 15-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Östers and 0.67 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Östers vs Örebro?

Östers 2-0 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Östers 50%, draw 25%, Örebro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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