Cobresal 3-0 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.78/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.46
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.4 Crosses 11.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Copiapo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.47 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 0-3 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
23.06.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 3-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİK
06.02.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 1-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
3-0
AWAY Copiapo
0.63 xG 0.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
314 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal cruised past Copiapo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cobresal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cobresal had 54% of the ball to Copiapo's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cobresal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cobresal and 0.00 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Copiapo?

Cobresal 3-0 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 45%, draw 28%, Copiapo 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobresal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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