Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 69%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
-25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +58%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
328 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 31.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.10.2014 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth II
3-1
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II beat Würzburger Kickers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Würzburger Kickers carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth II had 36% of the ball to Würzburger Kickers's 64%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 2.00 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 17%, draw 26%, Würzburger Kickers 57%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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