LDU Quito 2-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Apr 2024

LDU Quito
2-1 HT 1-0
Delfin
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

LDU Quito vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-7.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LDU Quito v Delfin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.93/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.86
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.6 Crosses 10.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

LDU Quito vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 0.96
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
466 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.10.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
09.05.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
08.03.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin CON CSA
08.10.2022 Delfin Delfin 3-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
15.05.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
08.11.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1

LDU Quito 2-1 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-1
AWAY Delfin
3.61 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
402 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Delfin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, LDU Quito had 65% of the ball to Delfin's 35%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 3.61 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LDU Quito's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.17 for Delfin.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Delfin?

LDU Quito 2-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 64%, draw 19%, Delfin 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →