Milford 1-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milford EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.79/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.82
+41% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milford
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Milford Milford GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milford
1-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Milford vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milford and Marumo Gallants couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Milford at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Milford had 51% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 49%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Milford vs Marumo Gallants?

Milford 1-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milford vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milford 44%, draw 28%, Marumo Gallants 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milford), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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