Buckley Town 0-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-8.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.32/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.39
+21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Guilsfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
06.01.2023 Guilsfield 3-2 HT 0-2 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
01.10.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
15.03.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield squeezed past Buckley Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Buckley Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buckley Town and 1.25 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Guilsfield?

Buckley Town 0-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buckley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 49%, draw 21%, Guilsfield 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buckley Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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