Ards FC 1-2 Ballyclare Comrades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

Ards FC
1-2 HT 1-0
Ballyclare Comrades
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.8pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ards FC v Ballyclare Comrades — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.69/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.54
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9

Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 6-3 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 5-1 HT 3-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.02.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 3-3 HT 2-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.08.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1

Ards FC 1-2 Ballyclare Comrades — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
1-2
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades edged past Ards FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ards FC had 49% of the ball to Ballyclare Comrades's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ards FC and 3.50 for Ballyclare Comrades.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Ards FC 1-2 Ballyclare Comrades in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 43%, draw 23%, Ballyclare Comrades 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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