Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Markhiya v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-3
HT 3-0
Al Markhiya
KATYK
2-0
HT 0-0
Al Markhiya
KAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KAT
3-1
HT 1-1
Al Markhiya
KATYK
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Markhiya
KAT
Al Markhiya 3-2 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Markhiya squeezed past Al Gharafa 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Al Markhiya had 37% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 63%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 1.33 to 3.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Gharafa.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Markhiya and 2.20 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa?
Al Markhiya 3-2 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Markhiya 27%, draw 26%, Al Gharafa 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa) went the other way.