FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Apr 2024

FK Tukums 2000
2-1 HT 0-0
Riga FC
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
16.01
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
4%
+12.9pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.6pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Tukums 2000 v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+18% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.21/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.65
+59% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +83%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 51.5
9.0 Crosses 34.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.29 xG 2.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
221 Passes 416
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 45
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
23.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-6 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
10.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.11.2022 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
28.08.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET

FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-1
AWAY Riga FC
0.81 xG 1.68
25% Ball Possession 75%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
100 Passes 470
52% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 39
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 nicked a narrow win over Riga FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 25% of the ball to Riga FC's 75%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.81 to 1.68 — on chances, Riga FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 3.67 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 17%, draw 22%, Riga FC 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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