Haras El Hodood 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.9pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.5pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.5pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.56 xG 2.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
194 Passes 330
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
28.05.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 3-2 HT 2-2 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSRK
05.02.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-1
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood and Ghazl El Mehalla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 47% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.33 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Haras El Hodood 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 32%, draw 36%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR2P More Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff
16 Apr 2024
16:30 Tanta FC vs Wadi Degla Analysis →
16:30 La Viena FC vs El Seka El Hadid Analysis →
16:30 Al Qanah vs Proxy Analysis →
16:30 Petrojet vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Analysis →