KFUM Oslo 1-3 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
7%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 33% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.74
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.42
X/2
12%
5.58
X/X
19%
4.27
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.89
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.45/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.15
-31% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
26.0 Crosses 20.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
1-3
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.48 xG 1.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
539 Passes 311
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset saw off KFUM Oslo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Stromsgodset found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 61% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 39%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.48 to 1.78.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset?

KFUM Oslo 1-3 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 37%, draw 33%, Stromsgodset 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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