Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
4-4
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting Cristal found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 57% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 43%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.64 to 2.16.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 3.50 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 36%, draw 27%, Sporting Cristal 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.