Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

Famalicao
0-1 HT 0-1
Sporting CP
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.15
1/2
8%
20.6
1/X
4%
20.1
X/1
6%
16.6
X/2
18%
3.61
X/X
9%
7.8
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.58
2/X
9%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.00/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.81
+34% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
16.1 Crosses 22.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 1.86
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
30.04.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
13.11.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
06.02.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
26.10.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao PORLC
28.08.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP
0.30 xG 0.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 450
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP squeezed past Famalicao 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao had 41% of the ball to Sporting CP's 59%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.30 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Famalicao and 1.67 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 17%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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