Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
2-3 HT 0-1
Metropolitanos
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.37/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.36
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.7 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
238 Passes 230
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.03.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
20.06.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
28.11.2021 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.11.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-3
AWAY Metropolitanos
3.07 xG 1.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
290 Passes 153
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 23
46 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos edged past Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 63% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 37%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.07 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Academia Puerto Cabello.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.17 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 46%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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