Barcelona (K) 5-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
83%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
Over
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
11%
2-3
43%
4-5
33%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
36%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barcelona (K) win — 83%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
85%
-2.4pp
10%
Draw
8%
+1.4pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.86/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.09
+96% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +75%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
520 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
57.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
30.5 Crosses 7.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.44 xG 0.66
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
734 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
48 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 6
10.02.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
5-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
4.52 xG 0.91
77% Ball Possession 23%
36 Total Shots 4
17 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
745 Passes 163
92% Pass Accuracy 66%
49 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Sevilla (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 77% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 23%, shots finished 36-4, expected goals 4.52 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Barcelona (K) 5-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 83%, draw 10%, Sevilla (K) 7%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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