Sydney 1-0 Lion City Sailors FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.25
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
3.14
Over
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
23%
7.26
2-3
37%
2.24
4-5
25%
2.35
6+
15%
4.18
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.26 — our 23% vs market 9.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.38
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
11%
22.9
X/1
24%
4.06
X/2
8%
22.9
X/X
12%
10.95
2/1
8%
18.85
2/2
7%
17.75
2/X
3%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sydney win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-20.2pp
26%
Draw
15%
+11.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +81% / +81%
1.61/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.61
+33% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +147%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
492 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
11.0 Crosses 4.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.79 xG 0.44
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
554 Passes 203
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2025 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
1-0
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
1.95 xG 0.46
70% Ball Possession 30%
29 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
489 Passes 171
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
52 Box Touches 9
55 Crosses 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Lion City Sailors FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney squeezed past Lion City Sailors FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sydney had 70% of the ball to Lion City Sailors FC's 30%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sydney's control.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Sydney 1-0 Lion City Sailors FC in the AFCŞL2 on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sydney 56%, draw 26%, Lion City Sailors FC 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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