Al Najma 1-1 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

Al Najma
1-1 HT 0-0
East Riffa
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs East Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v East Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
2.30/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.10
+80% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Najma vs East Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
3W-0D-3L
AWAY East Riffa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
08.04.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
21.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
14.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
04.01.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
02.09.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 0-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAHK
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma and East Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Najma and 1.83 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs East Riffa?

Al Najma 1-1 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 38%, draw 27%, East Riffa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5
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