Musan Salama 3-5 Ilves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
30%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Musan Salama EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves II EU Bookmakers 51%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
0.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-100% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Musan Salama
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ilves II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2022 Musan Salama Musan Salama 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilves II Ilves II FİNKAK
05.06.2022 Ilves II Ilves II 1-1 HT 0-0 Musan Salama Musan Salama FİNKAK
POST-MATCH Musan Salama vs Ilves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves II saw off Musan Salama 5-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilves II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Musan Salama and 1.00 for Ilves II.

What was the final score of Musan Salama vs Ilves II?

Musan Salama 3-5 Ilves II in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Musan Salama vs Ilves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Musan Salama 20%, draw 27%, Ilves II 53%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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