Peterborough United U21 3-2 Coventry City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.41
No Pick
55%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
67%
-22.1pp
55%
BTTS No
33%
+22.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry City U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Coventry City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
10.12.2024 Coventry City U21 Coventry City U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United U21 Peterborough United U21 INGPDL
07.05.2024 Peterborough United U21 Peterborough United U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Coventry City U21 Coventry City U21 INGPDL
01.12.2023 Coventry City U21 Coventry City U21 1-3 HT 1-3 Peterborough United U21 Peterborough United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Peterborough United U21 vs Coventry City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United U21 edged past Coventry City U21 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry City U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Peterborough United U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peterborough United U21 and 0.33 for Coventry City U21.

What was the final score of Peterborough United U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Peterborough United U21 3-2 Coventry City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United U21 25%, draw 22%, Coventry City U21 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Coventry City U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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