Sandefjord II 3-3 Gneist — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
30%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.25
No
40%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
30%
Away Win
45%
-15.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
76%
-15.5pp
40%
BTTS No
24%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gneist EU Bookmakers 49%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sandefjord II vs Gneist
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord II and Gneist couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sandefjord II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sandefjord II vs Gneist?

Sandefjord II 3-3 Gneist in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord II vs Gneist?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord II 41%, draw 29%, Gneist 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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