BG Pathum United 1-1 Tampines Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore - Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampines Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Tampines Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United and Tampines Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Tampines Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Tampines Rovers?

BG Pathum United 1-1 Tampines Rovers in the Singapore - Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Tampines Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampines Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 30%, draw 23%, Tampines Rovers 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampines Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampines Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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