Al Shabab 3-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
0.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.46
-42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +137%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
10.01.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-4 Al Shabab Al Shabab UMM
31.03.2024 Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
31.08.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab UMM
POST-MATCH Al Shabab vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab beat Al Nasr 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Al Shabab made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Shabab had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Shabab and 0.33 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al Nasr?

Al Shabab 3-1 Al Nasr in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab 35%, draw 34%, Al Nasr 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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