Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 Toluca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Apr 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy
0 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Toluca
📅16/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Los Angeles Galaxy v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Toluca The Market 42%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.75
1.39 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
Bad Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35
– Crosses 18
– Yellow Cards 4

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Toluca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.41 xG 1.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
248 Passes 556
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2026 Toluca Toluca 4-2 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy CON
02.10.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca KASK

Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
0 - 3
AWAY Toluca
0.43 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
446 Passes 320
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toluca cruised past Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

From a near-even 37% / 26% / 38% read, it was Toluca who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (60%) came in, both teams to score (61%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Los Angeles Galaxy had 57% of the ball to Toluca's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.36.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 3.50 for Toluca.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Los Angeles Galaxy 0 - 3 Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 37%, draw 26%, Toluca 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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