Shandong Taishan 3-2 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.39
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.2
X/1
18%
3.66
X/2
4%
15.5
X/X
11%
7.69
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
5%
11.1
2/X
6%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.28/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.44
+20% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
38.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
28.4 Crosses 9.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.54 xG 0.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
426 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
24.05.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
19.12.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 8-0 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
24.09.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
05.08.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 4-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
14.05.2021 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
3-2
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.89 xG 0.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
271 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Shenzhen FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 45% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.83 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC?

Shandong Taishan 3-2 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 61%, draw 24%, Shenzhen FC 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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