Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
16%
3.45
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.41
Over
45%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.95
No Pick
61%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1
37%
1.97
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
17%
6.78
6+
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+11.2pp
17%
Draw
26%
-9.7pp
58%
Away Win
59%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
67%
-12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
33%
+12.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.9pp
61%
BTTS No
70%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -64%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
178 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
80 Passes 265
47% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys squeezed past Deportivo Riestra 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newells Old Boys as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 33% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 67%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Cup on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 26%, draw 17%, Newells Old Boys 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newells Old Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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