KCB Nairobi 0-0 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gor Mahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-1 HT 2-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi and Gor Mahia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Gor Mahia?

KCB Nairobi 0-0 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 23%, draw 31%, Gor Mahia 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5
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