Al Qadsia 1-1 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 32% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.87/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.17
-39% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
02.01.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
07.10.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
29.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
02.04.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
10.03.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia and Al Arabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Qadsia and 1.17 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Al Qadsia 1-1 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 29%, draw 26%, Al Arabi 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KUV More Kuwait - Premier League
16 May 2024
21:25 Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait Analysis →