National Bank of Egypt 5-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.05/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.1 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Al Masry
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
240 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MISLK
05.11.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-4 HT 0-2 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
25.04.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
06.12.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
23.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
26.05.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 1-3 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
5-2
AWAY Al Masry
2.32 xG 1.08
25% Ball Possession 75%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
134 Passes 536
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt cruised past Al Masry 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Masry at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 25% of the ball to Al Masry's 75%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.32 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 0.83 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry?

National Bank of Egypt 5-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 29%, draw 28%, Al Masry 43%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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16 May 2024
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