Napredak Krusevac 0-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
66%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.46
Over 2.5
53%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.0pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
66%
Away Win
81%
-14.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
25%
+21.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
75%
-21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 85%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.74/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.65
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.6
16.5 Crosses 25.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 2.05
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
188 Passes 407
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 3-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
03.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
19.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
18.09.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
05.12.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-4
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.24 xG 2.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 8
240 Passes 472
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over Napredak Krusevac 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 39% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 61%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.24 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Napredak Krusevac 0-4 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 15%, draw 19%, Kızılyıldız 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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